Naval vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 4
NAV
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
NAV
5 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
NAV
1 - 0
CHA
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
MAI
1 - 0
NAV
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 1
FEL
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FEL
4 - 0
FCM
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
UNI
4 - 1
FEL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
FEL
0 - 0
ACA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |