Naval vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLE
4 - 1
NAV
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 4
MAR
6%
13%
81%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 2
FAF
17%
24%
59%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
8 - 0
NAV
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 0
CRA
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
PRA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
GDR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |