CDS Naval vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
HUA
11%
18%
72%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NTA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 2
NTA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 1
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
NTA
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 0
LOT
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 0
NTA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
UCO
14%
20%
67%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |