CDS Naval vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
NTA
2 - 1
DLS
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PUE
0 - 0
NTA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
NTA
0 - 1
CDM
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
EVE
4 - 3
UCO
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
CDM
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
NTA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
ULC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |