CDS Naval vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CDP
2 - 0
NTA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
NTA
3 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
OVA
1 - 1
NTA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NTA
1 - 0
IQU
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
DLI
3 - 2
NTA
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 3
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
IQU
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 2
DLI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CDP
4 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |