Navad Urmia vs Vanpars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navad Urmia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
NUF
2 - 0
BON
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
2 - 0
NUF
12%
24%
64%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
NUF
1 - 0
FLD
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
OGH
1 - 1
NUF
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
NUF
0 - 1
PAS
61%
24%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vanpars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
KFM
18%
25%
58%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
VAN
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MNK
1 - 1
VAN
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
SGY
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
BON
1 - 2
VAN
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |