Navad Urmia vs Pars Jonubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.4%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navad Urmia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
QSF
0 - 2
NUF
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
NUF
0 - 2
BAA
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
KHO
1 - 0
NUF
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
NUF
0 - 1
EMO
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
NUF
0 - 1
AST
47%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 1
AST
60%
24%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
SMK
2 - 0
PAR
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
EKU
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
SPF
3 - 2
PAR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
SHA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |