CD Naval vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
NAV
60%
22%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 2
REV
38%
25%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDT
3 - 1
NAV
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
SAN
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
NAV
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 2
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
COM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 2
VEL
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |