CD Naval vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAV
16%
24%
60%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NAV
3 - 3
MCU
48%
29%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
NAV
0 - 1
TRO
17%
29%
55%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
COM
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 0
SAN
23%
28%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ESC
2 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
RIB
2 - 1
ESC
44%
28%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ESC
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MFC
0 - 1
ESC
24%
27%
50%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
AYR
2 - 0
ESC
23%
29%
48%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -3 |