CD Naval vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
21.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
GIN
1 - 1
NAV
57%
25%
18%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
41%
31%
28%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ALO
3 - 1
NAV
63%
23%
14%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 1
CEL
49%
28%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
GRA
3 - 0
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 2
ARO
58%
24%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAC
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CAY
7 - 3
CAC
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |