CD Naval vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
CEL
4 - 1
NAV
45%
30%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
NAV
0 - 1
LUG
44%
30%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ARO
1 - 1
NAV
49%
30%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CAM
3 - 2
NAV
54%
27%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
NAV
1 - 0
TUR
57%
26%
18%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SPO
2 - 0
VDB
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
SIE
0 - 1
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
VAL
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SPB
6 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |