CD Naval vs Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAV
62%
23%
15%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
NAV
1 - 1
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CAY
1 - 0
NAV
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
NAV
4 - 0
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAV
53%
26%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
AST
2 - 1
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
GIN
4 - 2
AST
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
AST
2 - 0
ROB
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
AST
4 - 1
CAU
43%
27%
30%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
AVI
3 - 0
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |