CD Naval vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ARE
1 - 3
NAV
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 1
VLE
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
RIN
0 - 2
NAV
41%
26%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
RIN
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LRI
3 - 4
SAN
34%
23%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOL
62%
21%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |