CD Naval vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAV
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
TRO
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAY
3 - 0
NAV
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
CUL
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 2
RIN
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TEX
4 - 2
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 3
ESC
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAM
66%
22%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |