CD Naval vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
4 - 0
NAV
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
CAY
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CUL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
SIE
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
NAV
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
TEX
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
4 - 0
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 3
ALB
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |