CD Naval vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 2
RIB
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 0
NAV
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 0
MER
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
REO
1 - 2
NAV
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
4 - 2
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SDT
1 - 1
SAM
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
5 - 1
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 3
SAM
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOJ
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 0
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |