CD Naval vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDT
3 - 1
NAV
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 0
SAN
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
NAV
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
GIM
32%
25%
42%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TEX
3 - 2
NAV
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REV
0 - 2
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 1
REV
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
REV
2 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
REV
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |