CD Naval vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
35.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 0
NAV
63%
23%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
NAV
3 - 0
GIN
50%
30%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
NAV
4 - 0
CEL
56%
27%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
LUG
3 - 2
NAV
67%
22%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 0
ARO
52%
26%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
TUR
66%
23%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 2
SPB
45%
28%
27%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
PON
1 - 0
SPB
46%
29%
26%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
RAY
71%
20%
8%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 4
SPB
44%
30%
26%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |