CD Naval vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
PIL
3 - 0
NAV
56%
25%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
NAV
0 - 1
RTI
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
UPL
2 - 1
NAV
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
NAV
2 - 3
SMA
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
TUR
2 - 0
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
OVI
1 - 1
BUR
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
MAL
3 - 1
OVI
59%
24%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
OVI
3 - 0
ATB
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CEL
3 - 2
OVI
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
OVI
3 - 1
SPB
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |