CD Naval vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.9%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
18%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 1
COM
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
LUG
5 - 1
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 1
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
UPL
0 - 1
NAV
79%
16%
5%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
CDO
3 - 0
SSC
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
COM
2 - 2
CDO
35%
33%
33%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
CDO
2 - 0
GER
74%
19%
7%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
33%
33%
35%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
CDO
5 - 2
ATH
61%
24%
15%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |