CD Naval vs EMF Meruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REV
3 - 1
NAV
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
SDT
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAV
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
SOL
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 2
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SEL
3 - 1
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
4 - 3
COM
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
MER
39%
25%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |