CD Naval vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAV
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NAV
1 - 2
UPL
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 1
NAV
90%
8%
2%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
VCF
6 - 0
NAV
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 80 | 55 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NAV
0 - 2
ENS
18%
34%
49%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CDO
4 - 0
LUG
77%
18%
6%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LUG
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
LUG
2 - 0
UPL
54%
27%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |