CD Naval vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAV
1 - 0
OVI
22%
27%
51%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
PIL
3 - 0
NAV
56%
25%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
NAV
0 - 1
RTI
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
UPL
2 - 1
NAV
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
NAV
2 - 3
SMA
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAY
0 - 1
AST
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
GIM
2 - 1
CAY
58%
25%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
CAY
2 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
CAY
3 - 1
SIE
60%
23%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
PIL
1 - 1
CAY
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |