Náutico RR vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
59.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
NAU
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
NAU
3 - 1
ARO
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
NAU
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 4
NAU
27%
20%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 3
REC
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 6
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
PRO
15%
17%
69%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
REA
1 - 4
PRO
17%
17%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |