Náutico RR vs Monte Roraima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+822%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 1
ARO
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 1
NAU
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
REC
1 - 1
NAU
18%
17%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 7
NAU
26%
19%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
REA
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
MRF
1 - 0
RIO
57%
20%
22%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
GAS
1 - 1
MRF
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MRF
1 - 2
SAO
16%
18%
65%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MRF
3 - 0
ARO
29%
20%
51%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
MRF
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |