Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
OES
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRB
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
VIT
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
VIT
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
BAH
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 0
VIT
28%
27%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |