Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRA
76%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 7
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |