Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-6
Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SET
2 - 3
NAU
8%
16%
77%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 1
IVI
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 4
YPI
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
VCR
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
COR
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 3
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |