Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIT
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 1
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |