Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRB
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
LON
37%
30%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 0
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIL
36%
30%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
VAS
26%
29%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |