Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSA
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAH
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |