Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
VIL
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |