Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
34%
27%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |