Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
ICA
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |