Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARN
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 2
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |