Náutico vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 1
NAU
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
ITU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAU
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 2
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
PAU
35%
25%
39%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |