Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
BRU
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
VAS
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
CSA
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |