Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
NAU
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 0
BAH
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 3
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
VAS
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VAS
3 - 2
OES
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |