Náutico vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 3
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 2
VAS
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |