Náutico vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
NAU
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
NAU
38%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 0
ATL
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 0
TUP
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
TUP
2 - 1
CEA
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TUP
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 1
TUP
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |