Náutico vs Timbaúba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VCR
0 - 0
NAU
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 1
NAU
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
REM
1 - 1
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
LIM
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFO
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
1 - 1
TFC
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AEB
1 - 1
TFC
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
TFC
6 - 2
AEB
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |