Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 3
VAS
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
PPE
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
CRB
55%
26%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |