Náutico vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
0 - 6
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |