Náutico vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
22%
69%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
9%
20%
72%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |