Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Náutico vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 3
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COR
0 - 3
SER
15%
22%
62%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 3
CON
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |