Náutico vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
YPI
0 - 4
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NAU
2 - 0
CON
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRU
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 2
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |