Náutico vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 4
ATP
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLU
23%
27%
51%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATP
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |