Náutico vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
NAU
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1981 |
NAU
0 - 0
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
SAO
4 - 0
FER
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
SAO
5 - 0
TRE
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
47%
28%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |