Náutico vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIT
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAU
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRÊ
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |