Náutico vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NAU
2 - 0
OPE
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
FOR
2 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 0
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NAU
2 - 0
ATM
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
CEB
1 - 3
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
AMF
0 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 2
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRZ
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |